Radar Armenia‘s interlocutor is international affairs expert Shahan Gandaharian.
– US President Trump has announced that large and powerful ships are moving towards Iran, and it would be better if they did not have to use them. How would you interpret this statement? What does the US sending ships to Iran mean?
– The second component of the statement explains the situation. The powerful ships are intended to pressure Iran into entering negotiations under US-imposed rules. Military movements, in this case, are a means of pressure in the form of naval force; even a threat to definitely go to the negotiating table.
– Is a military clash with Iran possible? Will the US strike, or will they organize these strikes through Israel?
– A material was published in the press that Tehran and Tel Aviv will agree not to strike each other. The agreement was reached through Moscow’s mediation, according to publications. Interestingly, the parties involved did not deny this information. The possibility of a military clash is not ruled out, but large-scale action is unlikely. Precedents suggest this. But the greater probability is the resumption of diplomatic work. Warships pave the diplomatic path.
– The Iranian Foreign Minister stated that several countries are trying to prevent the outbreak of a large-scale war in the region, and Europe is not among them. He means Russia and China. How would you interpret their position in this regard?
– Yes. The message is that Tehran is working to form a military axis with China and Russia, which would be a serious threat to the United States. This is a rhetorical threat in the face of threatening warships.
– According to Araghchi, the continent will seriously suffer from the consequences of a large-scale war in the region. What do you think is the possibility of war? If so, what will be the consequences?
– The war will have consequences in the form of humanitarian, new immigration flows, disruption of oil routes, and new economic crises. Regional countries have become active to prevent all of this. Saudi Arabia declares that it will not provide its airspace to the US to strike Iran, and Ankara comes up with proposals to resume phased negotiations and nominates itself to carry out a mediation mission. Numerous circumstances work to exclude the option of war.
